Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.224238 0.312629 0.411903 0.529308 0.662292 0.806488 0.973017
2025-06-29 0.099766 0.203919 0.340701 0.520515 0.740725 0.993899 1.300203
2025-07-06 0.057762 0.166096 0.326439 0.551648 0.839514 1.180293 1.601608
2025-07-13 0.033925 0.142884 0.323795 0.592071 0.946200 1.374222 1.911288
2025-07-20 0.018294 0.123493 0.320232 0.626452 1.041601 1.551727 2.199169
2025-07-27 0.011652 0.118762 0.337134 0.687720 1.170761 1.770096 2.535780
2025-08-03 0.005394 0.107457 0.340160 0.727350 1.270426 1.951319 2.827290
2025-08-10 0.000712 0.086933 0.322229 0.733369 1.323503 2.073173 3.045977
2025-08-17 NaN 0.055435 0.273744 0.687387 1.302357 2.098716 3.144905
2025-08-24 NaN 0.030369 0.225895 0.635307 1.268026 2.104013 3.216112
2025-08-31 NaN 0.018091 0.201086 0.617216 1.279005 2.165917 3.355998
2025-09-07 NaN 0.012541 0.192630 0.626114 1.328164 2.277303 3.557561
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005982 0.173769 0.616216 1.352279 2.359954 3.729241
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001576 0.152341 0.598636 1.364024 2.426275 3.881183
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001099 0.157892 0.634381 1.456802 2.601425 4.171674
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000937 0.166819 0.677195 1.560709 2.791945 4.482258
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000645 0.172987 0.714243 1.655751 2.970564 4.777770
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001156 0.192664 0.779741 1.795153 3.209663 5.151165
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000981 0.201244 0.822059 1.898673 3.400174 5.462430
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000165 0.192950 0.828474 1.946212 3.514549 5.676011
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.160481 0.779398 1.905043 3.506779 5.731623
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.128079 0.723690 1.849906 3.477564 5.757725
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.112518 0.704305 1.851545 3.525553 5.882759